← Back to UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje

Justin Gaethje

"The Highlight"

👊 STRIKER
LightweightUSAOrthodox
FIGHT Score for this matchup
76
1 systems for / 5 against
27
Wins
5
Losses
0
Draws
84%
Win Rate

Analysis Systems

Systems Favoring Justin Gaethje
Volume Striker·+1.7/minJustin Gaethje lands 6.5 strikes/min vs 4.8
Systems Against
Youth Edge·8 yrsIlia Topuria is 8 years younger
Win Rate Edge·100/84%Ilia Topuria has 100% win rate vs 84%
Iron Chin·79% defIlia Topuria has superior defense (79% avg)
Cardio Fade·3L lateJustin Gaethje has 0 decision losses + 3 KO losses — late-round wear in a 5-rounder
Coming Down·37y · 2 flagsCaution: Justin Gaethje (37) shows decline — 3 KO losses, absorbs 7.0/min. Edge to Ilia Topuria.

Physical

37
Age
5'11"
Height
155
Weight (lbs)
70"
Reach

Win Method Breakdown

20
KO/TKO
1
Submission
6
Decision
78% Finish Rate

Striking

Strikes Landed/Min6.48
Striking Accuracy58%
Strikes Absorbed/Min7.05
Striking Defense51%

Grappling

Takedowns/Fight0.33
Takedown Accuracy40%
Takedown Defense74%
Sub Attempts/Fight0

Loss Breakdown

3
KO/TKO
2
Submission
0
Decision