FIGHT
How It Works
FIGHT uses multiple analysis systems to analyze UFC matchups. Each system evaluates a different angle — when multiple systems align on the same fighter, it signals a stronger analytical edge.
The FIGHT Score (0-100)
Each fighter gets a composite FIGHT score for every matchup. This is a relative quality rating that factors in their stats, record, and how many analysis systems favor them in that specific fight. Higher = stronger pick.
Reading the System Badges
On the matchup screen, system badges are grouped under each fighter's name so you can see exactly who each system favors at a glance.
Each fighter shows how many systems favor them. When one fighter has 3+ systems in their favor, it's a strong indicator. Look for lopsided system counts (e.g. 4 vs 1) for the best opportunities.
Fighter Style Types
Primarily stands and trades. Wins via knockouts or outpointing on the feet.
Takes fights to the ground. Controls position and works for ground-and-pound or submissions.
Specializes in submissions. Dangerous off their back and from top position.
Elite takedowns and top control. Grinds opponents with relentless pressure.
Well-rounded with no glaring weaknesses. Can fight effectively anywhere.
The Systems
Finish Machine
FINISHHeavy favorite (-150+) who finishes 50%+ of their wins. Look for KO/TKO or Submission method props.
Youth Edge
AGEFighter is 3+ years younger than opponent. Younger fighters historically have better cardio, speed, and recovery.
Reach Advantage
REACHFighter has 3"+ reach advantage. Longer reach = better distance management, more jab effectiveness, harder to close distance.
Style Clash
STYLEFavorable style matchup. Striker with good TDD vs grappler, or grappler with high TD accuracy vs striker with poor TDD.
Win Rate Edge
MOMENTUMSignificantly higher career win rate (15%+ difference). Indicates overall fighter quality and consistency.
Ring Rust
ACTIVITYFighter who has been more active recently. Long layoffs (12+ months) can lead to ring rust and timing issues.
Iron Chin
DEFENSESuperior combined striking + takedown defense (10%+ better). Harder to hit and harder to take down = harder to beat.
Volume Striker
PRESSURELands 1.5+ more significant strikes per minute. Higher output fighters control rounds and pile up damage.
Underdog Value
UNDERDOGUnderdog has more systems in their favor than the favorite, or holds 4+ statistical edges despite longer odds. These are value plays where the line may be mispriced.
KO Threat
KO_THREATFighter's KO/TKO rate is 60%+ of wins AND opponent has been knocked out in 25%+ of losses. The power matches the chin weakness.
Sub Threat
SUB_THREATFighter averages 1.5+ submission attempts per fight AND opponent has 2+ submission losses on record. Live look at the choke.
Distance Master
DECISION_LEANFighter has 70%+ striking accuracy + 55%+ striking defense + multiple decision wins. Often a hidden ML / distance-leaning play.
Hometown Edge
HOMETOWNFight takes place in fighter's home country. Crowd energy, no jet lag, training camp normalcy — small but real edge.
Cardio Fade
CARDIOOpponent has 2+ recent decision losses or KO-by-fatigue losses AND it's a 5-round fight. Look for the late finish or the rounds-Over-leaning spot.
General Analysis Tips
- 1.Never stake more than you can afford to lose. MMA is unpredictable.
- 2.Systems are guides, not guarantees. Use them to narrow down research, not as the final word.
- 3.Line shopping matters. Compare odds across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and others.
- 4.Prop angles (method of victory) often have more value than straight moneyline angles on heavy favorites.
- 5.Watch for late odds movement — sharp money moving lines can signal insider knowledge or injury news.