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UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje

Sunday, June 14, 2026South Lawn of the White House, Washington, DC, USA7 Fights

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5
Hot Fights
33
Systems Hit
7
Total Fights

MAIN CARD

MAIN EVENTLightweight5 Rds
Ilia Topuria
Youth Edge·8 yrs

Ilia Topuria is 8 years younger

Win Rate Edge·100/84%

Ilia Topuria has 100% win rate vs 84%

Iron Chin·79% def

Ilia Topuria has superior defense (79% avg)

Cardio Fade·3L late

Justin Gaethje has 0 decision losses + 3 KO losses — late-round wear in a 5-rounder

Coming Down·37y · 2 flags

Caution: Justin Gaethje (37) shows decline — 3 KO losses, absorbs 7.0/min. Edge to Ilia Topuria.

Justin Gaethje
Volume Striker·+1.7/min

Justin Gaethje lands 6.5 strikes/min vs 4.8

Heavyweight5 Rds
Alex Pereira
Iron Chin·66% def

Alex Pereira has superior defense (66% avg)

Ciryl Gane
Distance Master·61/60%

Ciryl Gane: 61% accuracy, 60% striking defense, 4 decision wins

Bantamweight3 Rds
Sean O'Malley
Youth Edge·7 yrs

Sean O'Malley is 7 years younger

Reach Advantage·+4"

Sean O'Malley has 4" more reach

Volume Striker·+1.5/min

Sean O'Malley lands 6.0 strikes/min vs 4.5

KO Threat·63% / 50%

Sean O'Malley's 63% KO rate meets Aiemann Zahabi's 50% KO-loss rate

Distance Master·60/60%

Sean O'Malley: 60% accuracy, 60% striking defense, 6 decision wins

Aiemann Zahabi
Iron Chin·76% def

Aiemann Zahabi has superior defense (76% avg)

Heavyweight3 Rds
Josh Hokit
Youth Edge·13 yrs

Josh Hokit is 13 years younger

Win Rate Edge·100/69%

Josh Hokit has 100% win rate vs 69%

Iron Chin·60% def

Josh Hokit has superior defense (60% avg)

Volume Striker·+6.8/min

Josh Hokit lands 9.3 strikes/min vs 2.5

Coming Down·41y · 2 flags

Caution: Derrick Lewis (41) shows decline — 8 KO losses, 39% strk def. Edge to Josh Hokit.

Derrick Lewis
Reach Advantage·+6"

Derrick Lewis has 6" more reach

Lightweight3 Rds
Mauricio Ruffy
Youth Edge·11 yrs

Mauricio Ruffy is 11 years younger

Reach Advantage·+4"

Mauricio Ruffy has 4" more reach

Win Rate Edge·87/70%

Mauricio Ruffy has 87% win rate vs 70%

Iron Chin·72% def

Mauricio Ruffy has superior defense (72% avg)

KO Threat·92% / 50%

Mauricio Ruffy's 92% KO rate meets Michael Chandler's 50% KO-loss rate

Coming Down·40y · 3 flags

Caution: Michael Chandler (40) shows decline — 5 KO losses, absorbs 4.5/min, 43% strk def. Edge to Mauricio Ruffy.

PRELIMS

Middleweight3 Rds
Bo Nickal
Youth Edge·3 yrs

Bo Nickal is 3 years younger

Iron Chin·80% def

Bo Nickal has superior defense (80% avg)

Featherweight3 Rds
Diego Lopes
Youth Edge·3 yrs

Diego Lopes is 3 years younger

Steve Garcia
Reach Advantage·+3"

Steve Garcia has 3" more reach

Iron Chin·74% def

Steve Garcia has superior defense (74% avg)

Volume Striker·+1.6/min

Steve Garcia lands 5.4 strikes/min vs 3.8

KO Threat·79% / 25%

Steve Garcia's 79% KO rate meets Diego Lopes's 25% KO-loss rate

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Odds update hourly • Not financial advice